Voros Futures Cone Expansion Rings Lookup
Expand a central scenario across caller-supplied labeled cone rings, horizons, and descriptions.
Description
A futures cone distinguishes several labeled possibilities around a central scenario.
A futures cone distinguishes several labeled possibilities around a central scenario. This tool formats caller-defined rings rather than deriving their plausibility.1
The returned values include Expanded scenarios, Expansion rings, Ring scenario assignments. The How section below explains the calculation, input rules and interpretation.
When to use Voros Futures Cone Expansion Rings Lookup
Use Voros Futures Cone Expansion Rings Lookup when you need to evaluate the supplied records under the calculation and evidence rules below. No ring definitions, probabilities or scenario validity are inferred.
Define the question, evidence and scenario assumptions first. Supply the chosen score scales, time horizons or reference selection explicitly. Interpret generated text as a discussion template and screen labels as the stated rules.
How to use Voros Futures Cone Expansion Rings Lookup and understand its results
- Define the question, evidence and scenario assumptions first. Supply the chosen score scales, time horizons or reference selection explicitly. Interpret generated text as a discussion template and screen labels as the stated rules.
- Enter centralScenario, horizonLabels, ringDescriptions, ringLabels using the field table and calculation rules, then run the tool.
- Read expandedScenarios, ringCount, scenarioAssignments. The explanation below defines the units, signs, ordering and any flags or placeholder values.
- If the tool reports an input issue, correct the values and run it again. Apply the stated assumptions when interpreting a successfully returned result.
| Input field | Meaning | Value type; see rules below | Requirement |
|---|---|---|---|
| centralScenario | Central scenario | string | Required |
| horizonLabels | Horizon labels | list of string | Required |
| ringDescriptions | Ring descriptions | list of string | Required |
| ringLabels | Ring labels | list of string | Required |
Require a trimmed nonblank central scenario and aligned nonempty lists of nonblank ring labels, horizons and descriptions. Preserve order/duplicates and build labeled assignments plus expanded scenario strings and count.
ringAssignment=label + horizon + description Units, indexing, boundary conditions and exceptional cases are defined in the calculation rules above.
| Output field | Meaning | Value type |
|---|---|---|
| expandedScenarios | Expanded scenarios | list of string |
| ringCount | Expansion rings | integer; minimum: 1 |
| scenarioAssignments | Ring scenario assignments | list of string |
{
"input": {
"centralScenario": "Demand grows steadily",
"horizonLabels": [
"near",
"far"
],
"ringDescriptions": [
"faster transition",
"slower transition"
],
"ringLabels": [
"inner",
"outer"
]
},
"output": {
"expandedScenarios": [
"Demand grows steadily — inner | near | faster transition",
"Demand grows steadily — outer | far | slower transition"
],
"ringCount": 2,
"scenarioAssignments": [
"inner | near | faster transition",
"outer | far | slower transition"
]
}
}Limitations and assumptions
No ring definitions, probabilities or scenario validity are inferred.
Numeric inputs, where present, must be finite. Follow the calculation-specific rules for overflow, underflow and exceptional cases. Core numeric and string lists are limited to 100,000 entries; text entries are subject to the general large-text limit. Follow any smaller calculation limits above. Extremely large text inputs are rejected. Missing fields without a declared default, extra fields, wrong value types and violations of the calculation rules are input errors.
Alternative or Complementary methods
Use Cone of Plausibility Wildcard Boundary Map: A plausibility-cone screen identifies supplied low-plausibility high-impact scenarios and separately counts their declared wild-card flags. For a complementary task, use Probable Plausible Preferable Scenario Sorter: Plausibility and desirability answer different questions about a scenario. Rankings should retain that distinction.
References
Similar or alternative tools
- Cone of Plausibility Wildcard Boundary Map
A plausibility-cone screen identifies supplied low-plausibility high-impact scenarios and separately counts their declared wild-card flags.
- Probable Plausible Preferable Scenario Sorter
Plausibility and desirability answer different questions about a scenario. Rankings should retain that distinction.