Trend Scale Classifier
Classify an observed signal with caller-defined duration and reach thresholds.
Description
Trend-scale labels compare observed duration and market reach against chosen definitions.
Trend-scale labels compare observed duration and market reach against chosen definitions. A short duration takes priority over broad reach.1
Classify an observed signal with caller-defined duration and reach thresholds.
When to use Trend Scale Classifier
Use this tool to classify an observed signal with caller-defined duration and reach thresholds.
Prepare the recorded observations, ratings, assumptions or expected/observed lists requested. Choose thresholds and definitions appropriate to the planning question.
How to use Trend Scale Classifier and understand its results
- Prepare the recorded observations, ratings, assumptions or expected/observed lists requested. Choose thresholds and definitions appropriate to the planning question.
- Enter durationYears, marketsReached, minimumTrendYears, minimumMegatrendMarkets using the field table and calculation rules, then run the tool.
- Read classification. The explanation below defines the units, signs, ordering and any flags or placeholder values.
- If the tool reports an input issue, correct the values and run it again. Apply the stated assumptions when interpreting a successfully returned result.
| Input field | Meaning | Value type; see rules below | Requirement |
|---|---|---|---|
| durationYears | Observed duration (years) | number; minimum: 0 | Required |
| marketsReached | Markets reached | integer; minimum: 0 | Required |
| minimumTrendYears | Minimum trend duration (years) | number; minimum: 0 | Required |
| minimumMegatrendMarkets | Minimum megatrend reach | integer; minimum: 1 | Required |
Enter nonnegative duration/market count, nonnegative trend years and positive integer megatrend market minimum. Return label; equality advances into the qualifying category.
duration<minimum→fad; else markets≥minimum→megatrend; else trend Units, indexing, boundary conditions and exceptional cases are defined in the calculation rules above.
| Output field | Meaning | Value type |
|---|---|---|
| classification | Scale classification | string; one of "fad", "trend", "megatrend" |
{
"input": {
"durationYears": 8,
"marketsReached": 6,
"minimumTrendYears": 3,
"minimumMegatrendMarkets": 5
},
"output": {
"classification": "megatrend"
}
}Limitations and assumptions
No universal definition, durability or market data is established.
Numeric inputs, where present, must be finite. Follow the calculation-specific rules for overflow, underflow and exceptional cases. Missing required fields, extra fields, wrong value types and violations of the calculation rules are input errors.
Alternative or Complementary methods
Use Patent Signal Trend: Measure annualized patent-count growth against an emerging-signal threshold. For a complementary task, use Wildcard Triage: Score wildcard confidence, plausibility, and impact for triage.
References
-
Trend Scale Classifier — tool.io
Similar or alternative tools
- Patent Signal Trend
Measure annualized patent-count growth against an emerging-signal threshold.
- Wildcard Triage
Score wildcard confidence, plausibility, and impact for triage.