Wildcard Triage

Score wildcard confidence, plausibility, and impact for triage.

Description

Wildcard triage scores supplied confidence, plausibility and impact judgments.

Wildcard triage scores supplied confidence, plausibility and impact judgments. Its weighted score is a planning heuristic, not an event probability.1

Score wildcard confidence, plausibility, and impact for triage.

When to use Wildcard Triage

Use this tool to score wildcard confidence, plausibility, and impact for triage.

Prepare the recorded observations, ratings, assumptions or expected/observed lists requested. Choose thresholds and definitions appropriate to the planning question.

How to use Wildcard Triage and understand its results

  1. Prepare the recorded observations, ratings, assumptions or expected/observed lists requested. Choose thresholds and definitions appropriate to the planning question.
  2. Enter confidencePercent, plausibilityPercent, impactPercent, attentionThreshold using the field table and calculation rules, then run the tool.
  3. Read triageScore, priority, meetsAttentionThreshold. The explanation below defines the units, signs, ordering and any flags or placeholder values.
  4. If the tool reports an input issue, correct the values and run it again. Apply the stated assumptions when interpreting a successfully returned result.
Input fieldMeaningValue type; see rules belowRequirement
confidencePercentEvidence confidence (%)number; minimum: 0; maximum: 100Required
plausibilityPercentScenario plausibility (%)number; minimum: 0; maximum: 100Required
impactPercentPotential impact (%)number; minimum: 0; maximum: 100Required
attentionThresholdAttention thresholdnumber; minimum: 0; maximum: 100Required

Enter percentages and attention threshold 0–100. Return score, prepare at ≥75/investigate at ≥45/monitor otherwise, and inclusive attention gate.

score=0.25confidence+0.35plausibility+0.4impact

Units, indexing, boundary conditions and exceptional cases are defined in the calculation rules above.

Output fieldMeaningValue type
triageScoreWildcard triage scorenumber; minimum: 0; maximum: 100
priorityTriage prioritystring; one of "monitor", "investigate", "prepare"
meetsAttentionThresholdMeets supplied thresholdboolean
json
{
  "input": {
    "confidencePercent": 40,
    "plausibilityPercent": 60,
    "impactPercent": 90,
    "attentionThreshold": 60
  },
  "output": {
    "triageScore": 67,
    "priority": "investigate",
    "meetsAttentionThreshold": true
  }
}

Limitations and assumptions

No evidence is collected or future event predicted.

Numeric inputs, where present, must be finite. Follow the calculation-specific rules for overflow, underflow and exceptional cases. Missing required fields, extra fields, wrong value types and violations of the calculation rules are input errors. A successfully returned false flag is an evaluated outcome; its meaning is explained above.

Alternative or Complementary methods

Use Scanning Hit Score: Combine four caller ratings into a transparent scanning-hit priority score. For a complementary task, use Trend Scale Classifier: Classify an observed signal with caller-defined duration and reach thresholds.

References

  1. Wildcard Triage — tool.io

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