Dual System Chandrasekar Deming Estimator

Estimate total population size and undercount from two incomplete enumeration lists using the Chandra Sekar-Deming dual-record estimator N-hat = (a+b+1)(a+c+1)/(a+1) - 1 with the one-per-cell continuity correction.

Description

Estimate total population size and undercount from two incomplete enumeration lists using the Chandra Sekar-Deming dual-record estimator N-hat = (a+b+1)(a+c+1)/(a+1) - 1 with the one-per-cell continuity correction.

Estimate total population size and undercount from two incomplete enumeration lists using the Chandra Sekar-Deming dual-record estimator N-hat = (a+b+1)(a+c+1)/(a+1) - 1 with the one-per-cell continuity correction.1

When to use Dual System Chandrasekar Deming Estimator

Use this method when reconciling census counts, coverage, or intercensal components that share clearly stated reference dates and population definitions.

Both lists
Records appearing on both lists.
List 1 only
Records appearing only on the first list.
List 2 only
Records appearing only on the second list.

How the method works

Estimated total
Estimated true total including persons missed by both lists.
Missed by both
Estimated number missed by both lists.

Limitations and assumptions

Census-based estimates inherit omissions, duplications, age misstatement, boundary changes, and differences in reference dates. A small closure error does not prove that every component is complete or unbiased.

Alternative or Complementary measures

Compare the result with a post-enumeration survey, administrative registers, vital-statistics residual, or a second coverage method. Agreement between methods is more informative than a single closure estimate.

References

  1. Census — Wikipedia contributors

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