Bennett Horiuchi Death Distribution Method

Estimate death-registration completeness with the Bennett-Horiuchi synthetic extinct generations method: discount reported deaths above a base age back over the interval with the stable-population growth rate and compare their sum to intercensal person-years lived above that age.

Description

Estimate death-registration completeness with the Bennett-Horiuchi synthetic extinct generations method: discount reported deaths above a base age back over the interval with the stable-population growth rate and compare their sum to intercensal person-years lived above that age.

Estimate death-registration completeness with the Bennett-Horiuchi synthetic extinct generations method: discount reported deaths above a base age back over the interval with the stable-population growth rate and compare their sum to intercensal person-years lived above that age.1

When to use Bennett Horiuchi Death Distribution Method

Use this method when reconciling census counts, coverage, or intercensal components that share clearly stated reference dates and population definitions.

Base age
Base age of the first reported five-year age group.
Deaths
Reported deaths in consecutive five-year groups starting at the base age.
Growth rate
Annual intercensal population growth rate.
Person-years
Intercensal person-years lived by the population aged base-age and over.

How the method works

Completeness
Estimated fraction of adult deaths captured by registration.
Discounted deaths
Growth-discounted deaths above the base age before division by person-years.

Limitations and assumptions

Census-based estimates inherit omissions, duplications, age misstatement, boundary changes, and differences in reference dates. A small closure error does not prove that every component is complete or unbiased.

Alternative or Complementary measures

Compare the result with a post-enumeration survey, administrative registers, vital-statistics residual, or a second coverage method. Agreement between methods is more informative than a single closure estimate.

References

  1. Census — Wikipedia contributors

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