Flip a Coin Streak Probability Calculator

ProbabilityofONESPECIFIEDall-headsblock ofnindependentfairtosses,not anyrunoccurrenceinlongersequence.

Description

The probability of one specified all-heads block differs from the chance of finding a run somewhere in many tosses.

The probability of one specified all-heads block differs from the chance of finding a run somewhere in many tosses.1

This calculator handles a single block of independent fair coin tosses of the chosen length.

When to use Flip a Coin Streak Probability Calculator

Use this tool to apply the stated flip a coin streak probability calculator operation with an explicit input and unit basis.

How to use Flip a Coin Streak Probability Calculator and how it works

  1. Establish the text or game convention described above.
  2. Enter actualSpecifiedStreakLength and run the tool.
  3. Read result.value using the output meanings below.
  4. If input is rejected, correct the stated type, range, ordering or alignment issue and rerun; review successful results under the declared convention.
Input fieldMeaningValue typeRequirement
actualSpecifiedStreakLengthSpecified Streak Length. Units, ordering and applicable branch are specified in the algorithm.numberrequired; finite; integer from 1 to 1000000; further conditions in the algorithm

Require integer streak length 1–1,000,000 and calculate 2 to the negative length. Very long blocks can round to zero in binary floating-point; no search over overlapping runs or larger toss histories is performed.

P(one specified all-heads block of n tosses) = 2^(−n)

Apply the declared units, ordering and branch conditions.

Output fieldMeaningValue type
resultObject containing the declared output fields.object
result.valueProbability in [0,1] under the declared model.number
json
{
  "input": {
    "actualSpecifiedStreakLength": 3
  },
  "output": {
    "result": {
      "value": 0.125
    }
  }
}

Limitations and assumptions

The output applies the declared operation to the values you supply. Establish the measurement basis, units, coefficients and any caller-selected rules before interpreting it. The tool does not independently collect or verify observations or decide whether a model or reference applies.

Supply explicit required fields with the documented types and dense aligned arrays. Unknown fields, wrong types and nonfinite numbers are rejected. Branch-specific constraints are explained above. A returned boolean, signed difference or tied result follows the stated convention; an input error instead means the required input contract was not satisfied. Very large inputs or outputs may be rejected by shared resource limits.

Alternative or Complementary methods

For a related operation, use Gambler's Ruin Probability Calculator. Gambler’s ruin is the chance that a fixed-step bankroll reaches zero before a chosen target.

For a related operation, use Coin Flip Best-of-N Decider. A best-of-an-odd-number coin decision uses a majority to avoid a tie.

References

  1. Flip a Coin Streak Probability Calculator — tool.io

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