Stratospheric Sulfate Aerosol Cooling Estimator

Screen sulfate optical depth, signed forcing and equilibrium temperature-response scenario with supplied yield/lifetime/area/calibration; not a transient climate forecast, global default coefficient or geoengineering recommendation.

Description

Sulfate aerosols can alter radiative forcing after volcanic SO₂ reaches the stratosphere.

Sulfate aerosols can alter radiative forcing after volcanic SO₂ reaches the stratosphere. Optical depth and equilibrium temperature response are separate modeled stages.

Screen sulfate optical depth, signed forcing and equilibrium temperature-response scenario with supplied yield/lifetime/area/calibration; not a transient climate forecast, global default coefficient or geoengineering recommendation.

When to use Stratospheric Sulfate Aerosol Cooling Estimator

Use this tool to screen sulfate optical depth, signed forcing and equilibrium temperature-response scenario with supplied yield/lifetime/area/calibration; not a transient climate forecast, global default coefficient or geoengineering recommendation.

Gather the relevant observations and fitted model parameters. Use the stated units and time basis; keep paired observations aligned.

How to use Stratospheric Sulfate Aerosol Cooling Estimator and understand its results

  1. Gather the relevant observations and fitted model parameters. Use the stated units and time basis; keep paired observations aligned.
  2. Enter stratosphericSo2MassKg, sulfateMassYieldPerSo2Mass, aerosolMassExtinctionM2PerKg, representedAtmosphericAreaM2, elapsedDays, aerosolEFoldingLifetimeDays, forcingWattsPerM2PerOpticalDepth, temperatureResponseKPerWattsM2 using the field table and calculation rules, then run the tool.
  3. Read modelAerosolOpticalDepth, modelRadiativeForcingWattsPerM2, equilibriumResponseScenarioK. The explanation below defines the units, signs, ordering and any flags or placeholder values.
  4. If the tool reports an input issue, correct the values and run it again. Apply the stated assumptions when interpreting a successfully returned result.
Input fieldMeaningValue type; see rules belowRequirement
stratosphericSo2MassKgStratospheric so2 mass kgnumberRequired
sulfateMassYieldPerSo2MassSulfate mass yield per so2 massnumberRequired
aerosolMassExtinctionM2PerKgAerosol mass extinction m2 per kgnumberRequired
representedAtmosphericAreaM2Represented atmospheric area m2numberRequired
elapsedDaysElapsed daysnumberRequired
aerosolEFoldingLifetimeDaysAerosol e folding lifetime daysnumberRequired
forcingWattsPerM2PerOpticalDepthForcing watts per m2 per optical depthnumberRequired
temperatureResponseKPerWattsM2Temperature response k per watts m2numberRequired

Use positive yield, extinction, area and lifetime, nonnegative SO₂ mass, elapsed days and response factor. Multiply optical depth by the signed forcing coefficient, then by the temperature-response factor. Negative forcing produces a negative temperature scenario.1

optical depth = mass × yield × extinction/area × exp(−time/lifetime)

Units, indexing, boundary conditions and exceptional cases are defined in the calculation rules above.

Output fieldMeaningValue type
modelAerosolOpticalDepthModel aerosol optical depthnumber
modelRadiativeForcingWattsPerM2Model radiative forcing watts per m2number
equilibriumResponseScenarioKEquilibrium response scenario knumber
json
{
  "input": {
    "stratosphericSo2MassKg": 1000,
    "sulfateMassYieldPerSo2Mass": 1.5,
    "aerosolMassExtinctionM2PerKg": 100,
    "representedAtmosphericAreaM2": 1000000,
    "elapsedDays": 10,
    "aerosolEFoldingLifetimeDays": 10,
    "forcingWattsPerM2PerOpticalDepth": -20,
    "temperatureResponseKPerWattsM2": 0.5
  },
  "output": {
    "modelAerosolOpticalDepth": 0.05518191617571635,
    "modelRadiativeForcingWattsPerM2": -1.103638323514327,
    "equilibriumResponseScenarioK": -0.5518191617571635
  }
}

Limitations and assumptions

Supplied calibration and exponential decay exclude transient climate dynamics and aerosol microphysics.

Numbers and computed results must be finite; overflow produces an error. Missing required fields, extra fields, wrong value types and violations of the calculation rules are input errors.

Alternative or Complementary methods

Use SO2 Mass Flux Tonnes Day: Integrate blank-corrected SO2 cross-plume column mass and multiply by signed normal plume speed; negative nondetections/transport remain signed, with no eruption-alert threshold or wind-direction inference. For a complementary task, use Plume Mass Flux Buoyancy Estimate: Estimate signed heat-derived plume buoyancy flux using supplied source/ambient heat properties; neglects particle loading, moisture and momentum, retaining negatively buoyant thermal scenarios.

References

  1. Stratospheric Sulfate Aerosol Cooling Estimator — tool.io

Similar or alternative tools

  • SO2 Mass Flux Tonnes Day

    Integrate blank-corrected SO2 cross-plume column mass and multiply by signed normal plume speed; negative nondetections/transport remain signed, with no eruption-alert threshold or wind-direction inference.

  • Plume Mass Flux Buoyancy Estimate

    Estimate signed heat-derived plume buoyancy flux using supplied source/ambient heat properties; neglects particle loading, moisture and momentum, retaining negatively buoyant thermal scenarios.

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