Probit Detection Limit

Invert a fitted standard-normal probit versus log10 concentration model at a caller quantile (1.64485 for 95% hits); coefficients use probit zero, not probit five.

Description

Invert a fitted standard-normal probit model against log10 concentration at a supplied target response quantile.

A detection-probability model describes how often an assay returns a positive result at a concentration. In a probit model, that probability is transformed through the inverse standard-normal cumulative distribution. The transformed value is zero at 50% probability; a value near 1.644854 corresponds to 95% probability.1

This tool assumes the transformed probability equals an intercept plus a positive slope times log10 concentration. Once those coefficients have been fitted elsewhere, algebra can find the concentration corresponding to a chosen response probability. A 95% hit probability is different from a 95% confidence bound on the estimated concentration.

Probit Detection Limit performs that inversion and returns both log10 concentration and ordinary concentration. Its coefficients use the zero-centered normal convention, not the older probit-5 convention.

When to invert an existing detection-probability model

Use the tool after obtaining compatible fitted coefficients and selecting a target probability. It helps check a point estimate and avoid mixing log bases, concentration units, or probit conventions.

  • Calculate the concentration for a chosen assay hit probability.
  • Compare target probabilities using the same fitted model.
  • Check the zero-centered versus probit-5 intercept convention.

How to supply coefficients and invert the probit relation

  1. Enter Probit intercept and a positive Probit slope from a model fitted against log10 concentration.
  2. Enter Target normal quantile as the standard-normal quantile of the desired probability, such as 1.6448536269514722 for 95%; do not enter 95 or 0.95.
  3. Run the calculation and read Log 10 detection concentration and Detection concentration in the concentration unit used for the fit.
Φ⁻¹(Pdetect) = a + b × log10(C); log10DetectionConcentration = (zTarget − a)/b; detectionConcentration = 10^((zTarget−a)/b)

Φ is the standard-normal cumulative distribution, a is the intercept, and b is the positive slope. The tool receives zTarget rather than calculating it from probability.

The implementation validates a positive slope, subtracts the intercept from the supplied quantile, divides by slope, and exponentiates base ten. It does not fit coefficients from hit counts. A legacy probit-5 intercept must be converted to the zero-centered convention before entry.

json
{
  "input": {
    "probitIntercept": 0,
    "probitSlope": 1,
    "targetNormalQuantile": 1.6448536269514722
  },
  "output": {
    "log10DetectionConcentration": 1.6448536269514722,
    "detectionConcentration": 44.14216471165427
  }
}

Nonpositive slope, missing fields, or nonfinite inputs produce errors. Negative finite intercepts and target quantiles are accepted.

Limitations of a fitted-model inversion

  • No model fitting, replicate-count analysis, confidence interval, goodness-of-fit check, or laboratory validation is performed.
  • Units, log base, and probit convention must match the fitted coefficients. Natural-log or probit-5 coefficients cannot be used unchanged.
  • The target is a response probability, not an uncertainty level or an automatically selected regulatory detection limit.
  • Extreme exponents can overflow and cause an output error, or underflow to numeric zero. Extrapolation beyond fitted concentrations is not evaluated.

Alternative or Complementary dose-response inversions

Choose a model whose response and concentration convention match the analysis. The LD50 tool uses probit-5 and log-dose, while an extra-risk benchmark tool uses standard-normal probit on linear dose. Those distinctions change the meaning of the coefficients and target.

References

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