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Probability: Probability Odds Boundary Policy Tool

Report exact probability-to-odds endpoint status without non-JSON infinity; odds zero is unused when finite=false, unlike a clipped probability.

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Description

Report exact probability-to-odds endpoint status without non-JSON infinity; odds zero is unused when finite=false, unlike a clipped probability.

A binary probability p corresponds to odds p/(1-p). Evidence updates can multiply prior odds by a likelihood ratio, or normalize likelihood-weighted priors. Likelihood densities can exceed one, while event probabilities cannot; compatible observation definitions and measurement bases matter before combining them.

Report exact probability-to-odds endpoint status without non-JSON infinity; odds zero is unused when finite=false, unlike a clipped probability.

When to use this tool

Use Probability: Probability Odds Boundary Policy when you need the stated odds conversion, binary update, or normalization of compatible supplied weights.

How to use the tool and how it works

  1. Enter probability. Use the units and conventions below.
  2. Run the tool. Correct any format, range, or cross-field input error before interpreting the output.
  3. Read result. Expand result to inspect the returned fields.

For a supplied probability in zero through one return odds=p/(1-p) when p<1. At p=1 return odds=0, finite=false, and boundary=infinite-odds; p=0 is labeled zero and interior values interior. Outputs are inside result.1

Input fieldMeaning and unitsAccepted input
probabilityDimensionless probability from zero through one.Required. Finite number.
Output fieldInterpretationReturned shape
resultObject containing the calculated result members described below.Required. Object.
result.finiteFiniteCalculated result member: boolean.
result.oddsp/(1-p) when finite; zero is a placeholder at p=1.Calculated result member: number.
result.boundaryBoundaryCalculated result member: string.
json
{
  "input": {
    "probability": 1
  },
  "output": {
    "result": {
      "finite": false,
      "odds": 0,
      "boundary": "infinite-odds"
    }
  }
}

Limitations and assumptions

  • Inspect finite and boundary before using odds. The zero value at probability one is an infinite-odds placeholder, not finite odds or evidence of impossibility.
  • Outputs are nested inside result. Inputs must satisfy both the field types and the cross-field conditions above. Invalid input causes an error; a successful false flag or documented placeholder is a different result.
  • Numeric calculations use binary floating point unless exact decimal-integer arithmetic is explicitly stated. No hidden measurement tolerance or decimal rounding is added; nonfinite or out-of-contract results are rejected. Signed zero is exported as zero.

Alternative or Complementary methods

Use a complete likelihood model and an explicit hypothesis space when supplied weights cannot be justified independently. For extreme products, a log-domain calculation can reduce avoidable underflow.

References

  1. Calculation and input contract: probability/probability-odds-boundary-policy — tool.io

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