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Binary Observation Log Likelihood Ratio Term Tool

Compute binary observation log likelihood ratio term from explicit bounded inputs.

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Description

For binary outcome and modelMass and referenceMass strictly between zero and one return ln(modelMass/referenceMass) for outcome one, otherwise ln((1-modelMass)/(1-referenceMass)).

Products of small probabilities can round to zero in floating-point arithmetic. Natural logarithms turn products into sums, and centering or expm1-based expressions can reduce avoidable numerical loss. A finite log weight is different from a raw probability and cannot directly represent an exact zero probability.

For binary outcome and modelMass and referenceMass strictly between zero and one return ln(modelMass/referenceMass) for outcome one, otherwise ln((1-modelMass)/(1-referenceMass)).

When to use this tool

Use Binary Observation Log Likelihood Ratio Term when you need the stated natural-log contribution or stable conversion between a finite log representation and an ordinary value.

How to use the tool and how it works

  1. Enter outcome, modelMass, referenceMass. Use the units and conventions below.
  2. Run the tool. Correct any format, range, or cross-field input error before interpreting the output.
  3. Read logRatio. Use the output convention below.

For binary outcome and modelMass and referenceMass strictly between zero and one return ln(modelMass/referenceMass) for outcome one, otherwise ln((1-modelMass)/(1-referenceMass)).1

Input fieldMeaning and unitsAccepted input
outcomeOutcomeRequired. Safe integer; minimum 0; maximum 1.
modelMassModel MassRequired. Finite number.
referenceMassReference MassRequired. Finite number.
Output fieldInterpretationReturned shape
logRatioLog RatioRequired. Finite number.
json
{
  "input": {
    "outcome": 1,
    "modelMass": 0.5,
    "referenceMass": 0.25
  },
  "output": {
    "logRatio": 0.6931471805599453
  }
}

Limitations and assumptions

  • The ratio is model likelihood over reference likelihood for one observation. Natural logs are used; no sum over observations or endpoint convention is supplied.
  • Inputs must satisfy both the field types and the cross-field conditions above. Invalid input causes an error; a successful false flag or documented placeholder is a different result.
  • Numeric calculations use binary floating point unless exact decimal-integer arithmetic is explicitly stated. No hidden measurement tolerance or decimal rounding is added; nonfinite or out-of-contract results are rejected. Signed zero is exported as zero.

Alternative or Complementary methods

Keep long products or normalizations in the log domain when feasible. Check whether exact zeros need a separate flag and whether the final ordinary-scale result is representable.

References

  1. Calculation and input contract: probability/binary-observation-log-likelihood-ratio-term — tool.io

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