Global Catastrophic Risk Scenario Register Lookup

Create a structured catastrophic-risk register entry and review prompts from a caller-supplied scenario, category, and horizon.

Description

A catastrophic-risk register needs an explicit scenario, category and horizon.

A catastrophic-risk register needs an explicit scenario, category and horizon. Organizing an entry does not assign its probability.^[1]

The returned values include Priority basis, Register entry, Review questions, Scenario ID. The How section below explains the calculation, input rules and interpretation.

When to use Global Catastrophic Risk Scenario Register Lookup

Use Global Catastrophic Risk Scenario Register Lookup when you need to evaluate the supplied records under the calculation and evidence rules below. No risk severity, population exposure or probability is computed.

Define the question, evidence and scenario assumptions first. Supply the chosen score scales, time horizons or reference selection explicitly. Interpret generated text as a discussion template and screen labels as the stated rules.

How to use Global Catastrophic Risk Scenario Register Lookup and understand its results

Define the question, evidence and scenario assumptions first. Supply the chosen score scales, time horizons or reference selection explicitly. Interpret generated text as a discussion template and screen labels as the stated rules.
Enter riskCategory, scenarioName, timeHorizon using the field table and calculation rules, then run the tool.
Read priorityBasis, registerEntry, reviewQuestions, scenarioId. The explanation below defines the units, signs, ordering and any flags or placeholder values.
If the tool reports an input issue, correct the values and run it again. Apply the stated assumptions when interpreting a successfully returned result.

Input field	Meaning	Value type; see rules below	Requirement
riskCategory	Risk category	string	Required
scenarioName	Scenario name	string	Required
timeHorizon	Time horizon	string	Required

Trim three nonblank strings. Convert scenario name to lowercase ASCII letters/digits with other runs replaced by hyphens and edge hyphens removed; reject names yielding no letters/numbers. Return formatted register entry, ID and fixed priority/review prompts.

scenarioId=normalized scenario slug

Units, indexing, boundary conditions and exceptional cases are defined in the calculation rules above.

Output field	Meaning	Value type
priorityBasis	Priority basis	string
registerEntry	Register entry	string
reviewQuestions	Review questions	list of string
scenarioId	Scenario ID	string

json

{
  "input": {
    "riskCategory": "systemic",
    "scenarioName": "Cascade Failure",
    "timeHorizon": "10-30 years"
  },
  "output": {
    "priorityBasis": "Rank the scenario by mechanism plausibility, scale, irreversibility, affected population, and recovery difficulty without treating any single score as decisive.",
    "registerEntry": "cascade-failure | category=systemic | horizon=10-30 years",
    "reviewQuestions": [
      "What mechanism makes the scenario severe?",
      "What early indicators would change its assessment?",
      "What interventions reduce severity, spread, irreversibility, or recovery time?",
      "What dependencies could make the scenario worse under stress?"
    ],
    "scenarioId": "cascade-failure"
  }
}

Limitations and assumptions

No risk severity, population exposure or probability is computed.

Numeric inputs, where present, must be finite. Follow the calculation-specific rules for overflow, underflow and exceptional cases. Extremely large text inputs are rejected. Missing fields without a declared default, extra fields, wrong value types and violations of the calculation rules are input errors.

Alternative or Complementary methods

Use P Doom Existential Risk Elicitation Format Lookup: Existential-risk elicitation requires a defined pathway and horizon before discussing likelihood and consequences. A structured prompt list helps keep those elements explicit. For a complementary task, use Existential Risk Category Taxonomy Lookup: Risk taxonomies help distinguish pathways and mechanisms before evaluating severity. A category definition does not quantify the probability or scale of a particular scenario.

References

Global Catastrophic Risk Scenario Register Lookup — tool.io

Similar or alternative tools

P Doom Existential Risk Elicitation Format Lookup
Existential-risk elicitation requires a defined pathway and horizon before discussing likelihood and consequences. A structured prompt list helps keep those elements explicit.
Existential Risk Category Taxonomy Lookup
Risk taxonomies help distinguish pathways and mechanisms before evaluating severity. A category definition does not quantify the probability or scale of a particular scenario.