Contingent Insurance Probability Calculator

Calculate the probability that the first life dies before the second life under constant forces of mortality derived from annual death probabilities.

Description

Calculate the probability that the first life dies before the second life under constant forces of mortality derived from annual death probabilities.

Contingent Insurance Probability Calculator: Calculate the probability that the first life dies before the second life under constant forces of mortality derived from annual death probabilities.

When to use Contingent Insurance Probability

Use the result for a transparent first-pass actuarial calculation when the probability, interest, exposure, and timing assumptions are already defined on a consistent basis.

First life death probability
Annual death probability of the first life.
Second life death probability
Annual death probability of the second life.

How Contingent Insurance Probability works

Calculate the probability that the first life dies before the second life under constant forces of mortality derived from annual death probabilities. The tool evaluates the supplied inputs together and returns the named outputs below; it does not infer omitted operating conditions or change the units shown.1

First to die probability
Probability that the first life dies before the second.

Limitations and assumptions

  • Actuarial results are conditional on the supplied mortality, survival, loss, interest, or development assumptions. They are not a premium opinion, reserve certification, or substitute for experience analysis and regulatory judgment.
  • Use finite inputs in the displayed units and preserve more precision than the final presentation requires. Independently verify safety-critical, financial, compliance, or production decisions.

Alternative or Complementary approaches

Compare the result with a second reserving, credibility, or life-contingency method and test how it changes under plausible assumption ranges. Retain the basis and valuation date with the result.

References

  1. Actuarial present value — Wikipedia contributors

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