Kaplan-Meier Survival Estimator

Estimate survival over time with the product-limit estimator from right-censored durations.

Description

Estimate a right-censored survival curve with the Kaplan-Meier product-limit method.

Kaplan-Meier estimation summarizes time-to-event data when some subjects leave observation without an event. It is widely used for survival, reliability, retention, and other time-to-event analyses.

When to use Kaplan-Meier Survival Estimator

  • Estimate survival at distinct event times
  • Handle right-censored observations
  • Build a step table for plotting a survival curve

How the calculation works

At each distinct event time, survival is multiplied by 1 − deaths/at-risk. Censored subjects remain in the risk set through their censoring time but do not create a downward step.

S(t) = product over event times tᵢ ≤ t of (1 − dᵢ/nᵢ)

Interpreting the result

Each row is time, cumulative survival, at-risk count, and event count. The curve changes only at observed events. Final survival can remain above zero when the last observations are censored.

Important limitations

  • Event indicators must be 1 and right-censoring indicators 0.
  • The tool does not produce confidence intervals, median survival, or group comparisons.
  • Kaplan-Meier assumes censoring is non-informative with respect to future event risk.
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