Wanted Versus Actual Fertility Gap

Compute the gap between observed total fertility and the wanted total fertility reported in survey style questions, together with the share of observed fertility that exceeds wanted fertility.

Description

Compute the gap between observed total fertility and the wanted total fertility reported in survey style questions, together with the share of observed fertility that exceeds wanted fertility.

Compute the gap between observed total fertility and the wanted total fertility reported in survey style questions, together with the share of observed fertility that exceeds wanted fertility.1

When to use Wanted Versus Actual Fertility Gap

Use this fertility measure when the births, women at risk, parity categories, and observation period follow the definition required by the selected method.

Actual TFR
Observed total fertility rate.
Wanted TFR
Wanted total fertility rate from the survey responses.

How the method works

Gap
Actual minus wanted total fertility; negative when women bear fewer children than wanted.
Unwanted %
Excess fertility as a percent of observed fertility.

Limitations and assumptions

Period and cohort fertility answer different questions. Survey recall, parity truncation, changing age patterns, union definitions, and mismatched exposure populations can materially change the result.

Alternative or Complementary measures

Pair period fertility with cohort measures, parity distributions, or wanted-fertility indicators when available. These complementary views separate timing changes from completed family size and stated preferences.

References

  1. Total fertility rate — Wikipedia contributors

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